ACR Messina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
MES
2 - 2
ATL
37%
30%
33%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
BOL
0 - 0
BRE
61%
25%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
25%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
UDI
2 - 2
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
BOL
0 - 1
LEC
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 0
SSB
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |