ACR Messina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.9%
66.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CIT
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 8
MES
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
PPI
91%
7%
2%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
MES
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |