ACR Messina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
23.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
SSB
0 - 1
MES
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
MES
2 - 1
TRI
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
BOL
0 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
TRI
1 - 1
BAR
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |