ACR Messina vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
28.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
FCC
39%
29%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
POT
0 - 0
MES
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 1
MES
50%
27%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
BAR
1 - 0
VNZ
56%
25%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
4 - 0
REG
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |