ACR Messina vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 1
MES
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MES
8 - 1
NIS
86%
11%
3%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RAG
0 - 0
MES
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 4
USP
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VIG
37%
28%
35%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |