ACR Messina vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MES
1 - 0
ARZ
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 1
MES
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MES
8 - 1
NIS
86%
11%
3%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
APR
41%
24%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -4 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
APR
2 - 1
SOR
13%
21%
66%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USF
1 - 1
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
APR
0 - 1
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |