ACR Messina vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
EMP
2 - 0
MES
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
TER
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
MES
0 - 0
VIC
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
CAG
0 - 0
MES
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ANC
0 - 0
SIE
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
NAP
1 - 2
ANC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CAT
0 - 1
ANC
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 0
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ANC
3 - 1
SAL
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |