ACR Messina vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
MES
2 - 1
LIC
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
EMP
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
MES
4 - 1
PIA
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 0
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ANC
1 - 1
USC
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
TAR
1 - 0
ANC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
PIS
1 - 1
ANC
78%
14%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
ANC
0 - 2
GEN
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
ANC
1 - 0
ROM
4%
17%
79%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +2 |