ACR Messina vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 1
MES
57%
24%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 1
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
SIR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
MAT
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 2
AKR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 0
AKR
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |