ACR Messina vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FCI
3 - 0
MES
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
10%
23%
67%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 1
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 4
ACI
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOC
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |