ACR Messina vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
22.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
PES
0 - 1
MES
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
USC
0 - 0
MES
50%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MES
1 - 1
AVE
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
USF
2 - 3
MES
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MOD
0 - 2
REG
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
REG
2 - 1
SSB
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
REG
1 - 1
UDI
44%
29%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |