ACR Messina vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
MES
0 - 2
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
CAT
1 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
ARZ
61%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
MES
1 - 3
SAM
28%
30%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
USA
0 - 0
MES
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
REG
2 - 0
LIV
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
VER
0 - 1
REG
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |