ACR Messina vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
MES
1 - 1
PRO
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
MES
3 - 1
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
REG
4 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ASS
2 - 0
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
REG
5 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |