ACR Messina vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
28%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
MES
2 - 0
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
VER
3 - 0
MES
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
MES
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
MES
1 - 3
VIC
61%
20%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
REG
2 - 1
VER
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
USC
4 - 1
REG
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
REG
2 - 0
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SER
1 - 2
REG
38%
23%
39%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
REG
2 - 1
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |