ACR Messina vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
MES
2 - 2
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
MES
2 - 2
PAL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
TAR
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
PAL
3 - 0
ACP
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ACP
4 - 1
NOV
40%
27%
32%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 1
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
ACP
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 0
VIG
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |