ACR Messina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
PIS
5 - 0
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
USF
0 - 1
ASS
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 2
PRG
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |