ACR Messina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 2
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
VER
4 - 0
MES
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ASS
3 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRI
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
LEC
3 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |