ACR Messina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 3
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 3
ASS
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASS
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |