ACR Messina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 0
MES
59%
21%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ATP
1 - 4
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
FAN
1 - 1
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
TRE
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VNZ
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
GEN
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |