ACR Messina vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MES
0 - 0
TAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
CAT
2 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 0
ACM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |