ACR Messina vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
MES
3 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
CAT
1 - 0
ACM
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 0
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
TAR
3 - 2
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
BAR
1 - 0
ACM
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |