ACR Messina vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
SAL
3 - 1
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
JUS
1 - 2
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 0
MES
59%
21%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
ACM
1 - 0
VER
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
ACM
1 - 0
SIR
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
TRE
0 - 0
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ATP
2 - 2
ACM
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |