ACR Messina vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ATP
1 - 4
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 0
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MES
0 - 1
SIR
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CAT
0 - 1
MES
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 3
VIC
65%
19%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
BRE
0 - 1
ACM
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MOD
4 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |