ACR Messina vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
MES
2 - 1
VIC
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
UNI
0 - 0
VIC
72%
16%
11%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
UNI
3 - 1
VER
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
NOV
0 - 0
UNI
64%
20%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |