ACR Messina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
30%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
FIO
2 - 1
CES
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
PRG
0 - 1
CES
32%
30%
39%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
CES
0 - 4
FIO
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PAR
2 - 0
CES
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |