ACR Messina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
CAM
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
SSS
2 - 0
MES
41%
31%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
PES
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1987 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |