ACR Messina vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
MES
3 - 1
SSB
57%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FCC
37%
32%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
USC
2 - 1
ARZ
62%
24%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LAZ
38%
33%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |