ACR Messina Sub 19 vs Lazio Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FRO
1 - 1
MSN
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MSN
0 - 0
CAT
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
MSN
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MSN
0 - 1
NAP
32%
26%
43%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
REG
2 - 1
MSN
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LAZ
3 - 2
BAR
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
LAZ
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 1
SIE
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAZ
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CAT
2 - 1
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |