Mesquita FC vs Céres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
MES
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
MES
1 - 1
SAO
18%
18%
64%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MES
1 - 3
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CER
0 - 4
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
SCR
5 - 1
CER
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CER
0 - 5
AFC
44%
26%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CER
1 - 2
GOY
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |