Mesquita FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 0
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MES
3 - 1
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MES
4 - 2
DUQ
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
4 - 1
MES
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 2
BOT
14%
20%
66%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 3
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 2
ATP
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |