Mes Sarcheshme vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
43%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Sarcheshme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
ZOB
27%
31%
42%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 1
MES
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
RAH
27%
31%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NAT
0 - 1
ZOB
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 1
NAT
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
NAT
1 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
NAT
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
NAT
0 - 1
SEP
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |