Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
10º
39
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MES
1 - 1
NAS
58%
26%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
MES
27%
30%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
MES
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
MES
25%
30%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
MES
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAQ
1 - 2
SPF
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 1
SAQ
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 2
SAQ
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SAQ
2 - 1
KFM
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
CTF
0 - 2
SAQ
24%
28%
49%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |