Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
10º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
EKU
2 - 1
MES
21%
28%
50%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MES
1 - 4
MAL
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MES
0 - 2
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOH
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Persepolis Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
NAS
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
SAQ
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
EKU
2 - 2
PER
17%
27%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
EST
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
SPF
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |