Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AAK
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
RAY
32%
31%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 2
MES
57%
27%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MES
1 - 1
NAF
31%
30%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
IRA
2 - 1
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAJ
3 - 0
MAC
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
BAA
0 - 0
FAJ
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAB
0 - 1
FAJ
61%
24%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FAJ
0 - 0
NAS
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
SMK
0 - 1
FAJ
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |