Mes Rafsanjan vs Aluminium Arak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FOO
0 - 0
MES
32%
30%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MES
0 - 2
TRA
40%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
MES
0 - 2
SEP
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
MES
38%
27%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
NAS
55%
27%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
EKU
0 - 0
AAK
32%
31%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AAK
1 - 1
MES
38%
27%
34%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
AAK
34%
32%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
AAK
0 - 1
SEP
33%
28%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |