Mes Kerman vs Rah Ahan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
FOO
0 - 1
SMK
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SMK
1 - 0
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SMK
3 - 0
SEP
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 1
SMK
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
SAI
4 - 2
SMK
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rah Ahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
RAH
1 - 1
SEP
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
RAH
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
RAH
0 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DAM
3 - 1
RAH
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
RAH
1 - 1
FAJ
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |