Mes Kerman vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AKF
3 - 1
SMK
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
SMK
0 - 0
DBF
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
FAJ
0 - 0
SMK
39%
32%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
0 - 0
SMK
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SMK
1 - 0
KHO
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SAI
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
NAF
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
NAF
26%
28%
47%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
FCA
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |