Mes Kerman vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SMK
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SMK
1 - 2
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
3 - 2
SMK
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
SMK
1 - 1
SHA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
RAH
2 - 2
SMK
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
FAJ
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FAJ
0 - 1
DAM
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAJ
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
FAJ
0 - 0
NAT
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 4
FAJ
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +2 |