Mes Kerman vs Damash Gilan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FOO
0 - 1
SMK
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
SMK
0 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
SMK
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
SMK
0 - 1
NAT
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 0
SMK
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Damash Gilan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DAM
1 - 0
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 0
DAM
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
DAM
5 - 3
PAY
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 0
DAM
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
DAM
1 - 1
FOO
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |