Merw vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
64%
22%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
MER
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2020 |
AGA
5 - 2
BFT
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2020 |
BFT
1 - 2
EFT
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2020 |
KAS
1 - 0
BFT
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
BFT
1 - 0
AGA
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AHA
2 - 0
BFT
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |