Merw vs Aşgabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
MER
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EFT
2 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
24%
59%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
EFT
0 - 1
AGA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 1
KAS
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 0
AGA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
AGA
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AGA
2 - 2
BFT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |