Mervue United vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
CAO
3 - 0
MER
70%
22%
9%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
SAL
66%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
FIN
49%
23%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 0
MER
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
MER
3 - 1
MON
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
LON
2 - 1
WEX
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
CAO
1 - 1
LON
69%
22%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LON
2 - 0
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
FIN
1 - 2
LON
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |