Mervue United vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
KIL
0 - 3
MER
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
SHE
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
MER
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
FIN
28%
26%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
LIM
4 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 0
LON
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LON
0 - 1
ATH
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
LON
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
WEX
2 - 1
LON
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LON
4 - 0
KIL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |