EMF Meruelo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMF Meruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MER
0 - 2
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DEV
1 - 1
MER
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MFC
1 - 0
MER
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
COL
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
GAM
1 - 1
MER
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VLE
1 - 1
CAS
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 1
DEV
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
RIN
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |