Mertskhali vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
DBA
3 - 0
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
CHK
1 - 1
MER
54%
22%
23%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
GOR
21%
24%
54%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
SKU
3 - 0
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEA
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SUL
46%
24%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
4 - 1
SAM
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 4
MET
15%
24%
60%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZES
4 - 1
SAM
83%
13%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |