Mertskhali vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ALG
1 - 0
MER
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
MER
4 - 2
ADE
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CHK
0 - 6
MER
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
KOL
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MER
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 2
LOK
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SHU
3 - 2
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
TSK
5 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 2
ACH
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |