Mertskhali vs Chiatura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LAG
2 - 2
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
MER
1 - 0
DIN
18%
26%
56%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +6 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
CHI
4 - 0
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
MER
0 - 4
SAM
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MES
3 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
DBA
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
FTK
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
MER
5 - 0
CHI
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ZES
1 - 2
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |