Mertskhali II vs Samgurali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
70.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
MER
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
KOL
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
EGR
3 - 1
MER
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
SAI
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BAK
2 - 1
MER
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
6 - 0
IME
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
ZAB
1 - 0
SAM
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAM
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
KOL
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
EGR
4 - 0
SAM
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |