Mertskhali II vs Sairme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
MER
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MER
0 - 6
TOR
10%
17%
72%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
LAZ
3 - 0
MER
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
SAM
17%
20%
63%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
MER
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sairme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 3
KOL
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
SAI
46%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
24%
56%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 4
SAI
18%
20%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 0
KOL
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |