FA Cup 1/1024
Global 3-2
Merthyr Town vs Taunton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
CHE
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MER
5 - 1
YAT
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 3
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
SHO
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 4
MER
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Taunton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TON
0 - 3
TAU
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 3
TAU
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 0
DAR
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 1
TAU
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 2
STA
41%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |